Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.282841 4.943452 5.671655 6.533906 7.527137 8.635584 9.966882
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.263008 4.094601 5.089265 6.366717 7.964539 9.898285 12.418711
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.705178 3.651558 4.867102 6.543022 8.795482 11.721273 15.816954
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.193803 3.161285 4.485767 6.431730 9.221025 13.080907 18.841037
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.959055 2.995025 4.497491 6.835687 10.388204 15.593946 23.825443
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.736339 2.801876 4.430795 7.102570 11.383647 17.993598 29.012890
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.506976 2.555795 4.238805 7.136211 12.011827 19.910748 33.735817
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.249480 2.219236 3.846977 6.778029 11.939586 20.683450 36.694862
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.148198 2.129171 3.846331 7.070866 12.995272 23.458215 43.443063
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.091671 2.108026 3.958673 7.573614 14.485322 27.178865 52.404691
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.999070 2.004532 3.904873 7.757877 15.407598 29.985687 60.063185
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.906406 1.885976 3.804076 7.833256 16.124128 32.488523 67.475088
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.785313 1.695930 3.544700 7.571435 16.165946 33.749353 72.735701
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.676463 1.514262 3.275626 7.248462 16.032633 34.637200 77.362920
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.620990 1.439131 3.218135 7.368547 16.863587 37.657344 87.058942
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.549416 1.316668 3.040269 7.194860 17.017909 39.236358 93.783372
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.528728 1.308756 3.117027 7.615236 18.594421 44.214232 109.135381
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.499750 1.276388 3.132424 7.892466 19.873955 48.688944 123.979824
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.458493 1.207126 3.049800 7.917459 20.541047 51.801223 135.945625
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.398894 1.081671 2.811104 7.512859 20.064975 52.043871 140.645503
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.382317 1.066812 2.849434 7.832776 21.515962 57.349743 159.451515
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.377195 1.082210 2.968525 8.386596 23.675632 64.800919 185.214043
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.356668 1.051456 2.959993 8.588695 24.901029 69.938744 205.355152